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2024-12-13 16:31:30

-Lack of market confidence: Despite the favorable policies, if investors still have doubts about the implementation effect of the policies and the long-term trend of the market, lack of confidence will lead to a weak willingness to follow suit, and it will be difficult to maintain the upward trend after the market opens higher, resulting in a decline.The gap is high and the shock is upward.-Uncertainty of macro-economy and external market: Uncertainty of macro-economic data, tension of international trade situation and other factors may affect investors' decision-making, so that the market will be suppressed by these negative factors and fall after opening higher [__LINK_ICON].


-Market expectations are highly consistent: if investors have a highly consistent interpretation of the Politburo meeting and think that it is a major long-term positive, the consistency of the market is expected to prompt investors to buy stocks one after another, forming a strong buying power and pushing the market to rise sharply.-Sector rotation promotion: The related sectors mentioned in the meeting, such as real estate and finance, may take the lead to drive the market to open higher, and then the technology and consumption sectors will relay to promote the overall market to fluctuate upward, forming a benign sector rotation effect.-Lack of market confidence: Despite the favorable policies, if investors still have doubts about the implementation effect of the policies and the long-term trend of the market, lack of confidence will lead to a weak willingness to follow suit, and it will be difficult to maintain the upward trend after the market opens higher, resulting in a decline.


The following are several hypothetical forecasts and bases for the market trend tomorrow:The gap is high and the shock is upward.-Warming up market sentiment: The rise of FTSE China A50 index futures and other external markets will drive the A-share market sentiment and push the market higher. However, after the market opens higher, some profit-taking discs may choose to take profits, which will lead to a certain shock in the market. However, under the background of favorable policies and good market expectations, there will still be funds to continue to undertake, pushing the market to fluctuate upward.

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